Monday, July 18, 2011

Monday's Quick Picks

After a win yesterday in which the Marlins broke a tie late in the game to down the Cubs, the Gambling Gods once again smiled down on me. Could this be a heater? Don't want to jinx anything but it sure is nice to get the bounces going your way.  Enough about yesterday, time to move on to today's picks.

Chi Sox -$126 @ KC.

The moneyline play on Chicago seems to be the obvious play here today.  Mark Buehrle (6-5, 3.42 ERA) is the starter for the Sox and has been pitching very well as of late.  The Sox have won 8 of his last 10 starts, a very nice stat.  He did pitch poorly vs KC in April, but his whole month of April was pretty dismal so I don't take  much stock in that start.  Not to mention KC is 8-17 vs leftys this season, Buehrle should have a solid outing. 

The White Sox have also had pretty solid bats as of late, roughing up Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers for 16 runs in 3 games against good competition (2-1 record).  For the season, Adam Dunn has been a bust.  A good place to look for a turnaround would be against KC starter Kyle Davies (1-8, 7.74 ERA).  Davies has not pitched well at all this year as is evident by his poor record and enormous ERA.  His last 3 starts which stretch back to May, his ERA is over 10.  I don't see a reason for the Sox bats to cool off against this struggling righty.

As for the KC side of things, the offense has been putting up very few runs.  They haven't put up over 5 in 10 days and that was against a struggling youngster for Detroit.   They do have a few decent hitters in Melky Cabrera, Alex Gordon, and Billy Butler, but the rest of the lineup lacks.  Not to mention a starter with an ERA in the clouds, and this should be easy work for Mark Buehrle and the South Side Sox. 
10* play

Washington -$114 at Houston.

Another moneyline play here on the Washington Nationals and Jason Marquis (7-4, 4.05 ERA) at Houston starting  Jordan Lyles (0-4, 4.60 ERA).  The Nationals hit the ball very well against tough Atlanta pitching in a pitching park over the weekend.  Jordan Lyles has been very inconsistent and gives up the long fly balls that can be dangerous in Minute Maid park which is very hitter friendly.  Marquis has struggled as of late but the Houston lineup has struggle all season.  Remarkably, the Astros are 17-49 against right handed starters, which is terrible by any standard.  It basically boils down to who is hitting better and who is pitching worse.  I like the Nationals in this one but only with a 5* play.

I know not much commentary today, but that's why its Monday's Quick Picks.  Good luck to everyone and hopefully another winning day..

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